NVR

Will Lower Mortgage Rates Aid NVR to Post Higher Q3 Earnings?

NVR, Inc.’s NVR third-quarter 2020 earnings and revenues are expected to have registered an improvement on a year-over-year basis.

In the last reported quarter, the company’s earnings and revenues missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.3% and 3.5%, respectively. On a year-over-year basis, earnings and revenues decreased 19.9% and 10%, respectively, as the COVID-19 outbreak had a significant impact on all facets of its busines.

Nonetheless, the company has a strong earnings surprise history, having surpassed analysts’ expectations in 12 of the trailing 14 quarters.

Trend in Estimate Revision

For the quarter to be reported, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share has increased 1.3% to $62.01 over the past seven days. The estimated figure indicates an increase of 10.5% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $2 billion, suggesting a 7% increase from the year-ago reported figure of $1.87 billion.

NVR, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

NVR, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

NVR, Inc. price-eps-surprise | NVR, Inc. Quote

Key Factors to Note

NVR’s third-quarter Homebuilding revenues (accounting for 97.7% of total revenues) are expected to have increased from the year-ago level, buoyed by strong housing market fundamentals backed by lower borrowing costs.

The improved sales trends can be attributed to solid monthly housing sales data. Markedly, pending home sales, new home sales and existing home sales rose 8.8%, 4.8% and 2.4% in August. Robust fundamentals of the U.S. housing industry have been a boon for NVR and other homebuilding stocks like D.R. Horton DHI, PulteGroup PHM, Meritage Homes Corporation MTH, as well as others. Recently, Meritage Homes announced in September that it has been experiencing unprecedented demand for homes, as is evident from 73% year-over-year growth in total orders for the July-August period. Importantly, the momentum continued in September as

Continue Reading